Casino AVG BACKUP EA Overview
The Casino AVG BACKUP EA is an advanced Expert Advisor (EA) for MetaTrader 4 (MT4) designed for automated forex trading. Developed by JEWARICH, an experienced trader with a proven track record, this EA leverages a sophisticated Averaging Strategy combined with robust risk management features.
The Casino AVG BACKUP EA initiates trades based on technical analysis and trend identification. It employs an averaging technique to recover from losing trades by opening subsequent positions at better prices.
Installation panel Parameters
Below are the details of the parameters in the advisor’s trading system settings table:
1. Lot Management Settings:
- AutoLots:
false- Automatic lot sizing is disabled, and the EA will use a fixed lot size.
- MaxSpread:
4045450- This value appears unusually high, and it might be an error or placeholder. Typically, MaxSpread should be set in points to avoid trading during high-spread periods.
- Balance for Auto Lots:
300.0- If AutoLots were enabled, the lot size would be calculated based on a balance threshold of $300.
- Total Order:
50- The maximum number of orders the EA can place is 50, which is high and might need to be adjusted to reduce exposure.
2. Pairs and Trading Hours:
- Start Time (Server Time):
02:00- The EA begins trading at 2:00 AM server time.
- Stop Time (Server Time):
23:00- The EA stops trading at 11:00 PM server time, covering most of the trading day.
- Pair 1:
XAUUSD - Pair 2:
XAUUSD- The EA trades exclusively on XAUUSD (Gold). Using the same pair for both settings indicates no diversification.
3. SL/TP Settings:
- Cut Profit [$]:
0.2- The EA closes trades when a profit of $0.20 is achieved. This setting is suited for scalping but may be too low for higher timeframes.
- Lot Multiplier Profit:
2- If the EA enters additional trades in a sequence, the lot size for these trades is doubled.
- Cut Loss [$]:
0.0- No stop-loss is defined, which means the EA may hold losing trades indefinitely, increasing the risk of significant drawdowns.
4. Averaging Settings:
- Lot Multiplier:
1.5- The EA uses a multiplier of 1.5 for subsequent trades in a grid or averaging strategy. This increases risk in prolonged trending markets against the position.
- Step Averaging [Point]:
300- The minimum distance between trades in the averaging strategy is 300 points. This spacing helps reduce overtrading but could still lead to high drawdowns during market trends.
5. Magic Number:
- Magic Number:
111- A unique identifier for trades placed by this EA, ensuring no conflict with other EAs or manual trades on the same account.
6. DDR System Settings:
- Use DDR System:
false- The DDR (Dynamic Drawdown Recovery) system is disabled. When enabled, this feature could help manage drawdowns by dynamically adjusting risk and recovery strategies.
- Apply After X Order:
10- If the DDR system were enabled, it would activate after 10 orders are placed.
- Profit in $:
1.0- The DDR system would close all trades once a cumulative profit of $1 is achieved.
Analysis and Recommendations
1. Risk Management:
- MaxSpread:
- The current value for MaxSpread is unusually high and could allow trading during extreme market conditions. Adjust this to a reasonable value (e.g., 20-50 points) to avoid costly trades during high-spread periods.
- No Stop-Loss:
- The lack of a defined stop-loss (
Cut Loss = 0.0) significantly increases the risk of large drawdowns. Set a reasonable cut-loss value to protect the account from prolonged adverse market conditions.
- The lack of a defined stop-loss (
- Lot Multiplier:
- A multiplier of 1.5 increases position sizes in a grid strategy, which can lead to significant drawdowns during strong trends. Consider lowering this value or testing the EA thoroughly before live trading.
2. Profit Targets:
- Low Profit Target:
- The profit target of $0.20 is very low, especially for XAUUSD, which is highly volatile. Adjust this to a higher value to reduce overtrading and improve risk-reward ratios.
3. Averaging and Order Limits:
- Order Limit:
- Allowing up to 50 orders can lead to high margin usage and risk of account blowout. Reduce this to a safer limit (e.g., 10-20).
- Averaging Step:
- The 300-point step between trades is moderate but may still lead to large drawdowns in trending markets. Test this setting under various market conditions to ensure its viability.
4. DDR System:
- Enable DDR System:
- Enabling the DDR system could help manage drawdowns by dynamically adjusting risk and closing trades at a predefined profit level. Test this feature to determine its effectiveness.
5. Trading Hours:
- Trading Time:
- The EA trades between 02:00 and 23:00, avoiding the low-liquidity period around market opening. This is a good practice but should be adjusted if specific market conditions favor earlier or later trading.
Recommendations
- Backtest and Optimize:
- Test the EA extensively with various market conditions, particularly XAUUSD trends, to optimize MaxSpread, Lot Multiplier, and Step Averaging.
- Adjust Risk Parameters:
- Set a realistic stop-loss value and reduce the total number of orders to mitigate risk.
- Consider DDR System:
- Test the DDR system to evaluate its effectiveness in recovering from drawdowns and stabilizing profits.
- Increase Profit Target:
- Adjust the profit target to a higher value (e.g., $1-$5) to align with the volatility of XAUUSD and reduce overtrading.
Summary
The Casino AVG BACKUP EA appears to use a grid or averaging strategy focused on XAUUSD. While it provides flexibility through its DDR system and lot scaling features, its high-risk settings (no stop-loss, high order limits, and aggressive lot multiplier) require careful testing and optimization. Proper risk management and parameter adjustments are crucial to ensure long-term profitability and account protection.
